Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.974829 2.060462 2.148787 2.246917 2.353157 2.465003 2.592041
2025-12-07 1.800255 1.917031 2.041930 2.186234 2.349358 2.529251 2.744340
2025-12-14 1.653484 1.787798 1.935466 2.111369 2.317253 2.553266 2.848312
2025-12-21 1.576429 1.728385 1.899754 2.109883 2.364298 2.667508 3.064578
2025-12-28 1.524148 1.692144 1.886039 2.130285 2.435736 2.813999 3.333480
2026-01-04 1.447621 1.621843 1.826356 2.089205 2.426133 2.856092 3.469768
2026-01-11 1.403326 1.586783 1.805900 2.093468 2.471863 2.970773 3.714383
2026-01-18 1.372105 1.565232 1.799788 2.113994 2.538425 3.117126 4.020335
2026-01-25 1.328495 1.525763 1.768456 2.098820 2.554504 3.193064 4.229200
2026-02-01 1.281328 1.479499 1.725821 2.065492 2.542095 3.225400 4.371741
2026-02-08 1.220818 1.413959 1.655449 1.990963 2.466469 3.157503 4.340472
2026-02-15 1.181621 1.374215 1.616946 1.957636 2.447148 3.172048 4.448967
2026-02-22 1.150868 1.346559 1.596101 1.951693 2.473286 3.268317 4.733380
2026-03-01 1.114272 1.310166 1.562371 1.926286 2.469428 3.318021 4.945447
2026-03-08 1.071919 1.264844 1.514957 1.879167 2.429761 3.306115 5.039330
2026-03-15 1.051873 1.248223 1.505622 1.886021 2.473277 3.437374 5.447922
2026-03-22 1.038348 1.239655 1.506726 1.907829 2.541615 3.619364 6.012985
2026-03-29 1.008050 1.207404 1.473602 1.876919 2.522449 3.642188 6.222581
2026-04-05 0.991504 1.193198 1.465063 1.882308 2.563000 3.779740 6.750740
2026-04-12 0.980018 1.185411 1.465108 1.900498 2.626088 3.968423 7.481857
2026-04-19 0.960021 1.165184 1.446489 1.888597 2.636221 4.053013 7.955089
2026-04-26 0.936518 1.139401 1.418933 1.861273 2.617206 4.075218 8.248771
2026-05-03 0.903855 1.100076 1.370637 1.799240 2.532916 3.951971 8.039452